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publications

M. Osman, C.S. Vera, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, "Predictability of the tropospheric circulation in the southern hemisphere from CHFP models." Climate Dynamics, 2016. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-015-2710-2

P.C. Spennemann, J.A. Rivera, M. Osman, A. Saulo, O.C. Penalba, "Assessment of seasonal soil moisture forecasts over Southern South America with emphasis on dry and wet events." Journal of Hydrometeorology, 2017. https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/hydr/18/8/jhm-d-17-0015_1.xml

M. Osman, C.S. Vera, "Climate predictability and prediction skill on seasonal time scales over South America from CHFP models." Climate Dynamics, 2017. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-016-3444-5

F. Rauser, M. Alqadi, S. Arowolo, N. Baker, J. Bedard, E. Behrens, N. Dogulu, L.G. Domingues, A. Frassoni, J. Keller, S. Kirkpatrick, G. Langendijk, M. Mirsafa, S. Mohammad, A.K. Naumann, M. Osman, K. Reed, M. Rothmüller, V. Schemann, A. Singh, S. Sonntag, F. Tummon, D. Victor, M.Q. Villafuerte, J.P. Walawender, M. Zaroug, "Earth system science frontiers: An early career perspective." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2017. https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/98/6/bams-d-16-0025.1.xml

C.S. Vera, M. Osman, "Activity of the Southern Annular Mode during 2015–2016 El Niño event and its impact on Southern Hemisphere climate anomalies." International Journal of Climatology, 2018. https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/joc.5419

M. Osman, M.S. Alvarez, "Subseasonal prediction of the heat wave of December 2013 in Southern South America by the POAMA and BCC-CPS models." Climate Dynamics, 2018. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-017-3582-4

M.S. Alvarez, B. Cerne, M. Osman, C.S. Vera, "Intraseasonal and low frequency processes contributing to the December 2013 heat wave in Southern South America." Climate Dynamics, 2019. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-019-04838-6

G.S. Langendijk, C. Aubry-Wake, M. Osman, C. Gulizia, F. Attig-Bahar, E. Behrens, A. Bertoncini, N. Hart, V.S. Indasi, S. Innocenti, E.C. Linden, N. Mamnun, K. Rasouli, K.A. Reed, N. Ridder, J. Rivera, R. Ruscica, B.U. Ukazu, J.P. Walawender, D.P. Walker, B.J. Woodhams, Y.A. Yilmaz, "Three ways forward to improve regional information for extreme events: An early career perspective." Frontiers in Environmental Science, 2019. https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2019.00006/full?fbclid=IwAR3uBhd3IIglnM-uBTIfj2JOURycS3K4rGh1bQMzs5z7YaYalw0CYwQo9Ao

M.S. Alvarez, C.A.S. Coelho, M. Osman, M.Â.F. Firpo, C.S. Vera, "Assessment of ECMWF subseasonal temperature predictions for an anomalously cold week followed by an anomalously warm week in central and Southeastern South America during July 2017." Weather and Forecasting, 2020. https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/wefo/35/5/wafD190200.xml

W. Cai, M.J. McPhaden, A.M. Grimm, R.R. Rodrigues, A.S. Taschetto, R.D. Garreaud, B. Dewitte, G. Poveda, Y.-G. Ham, A. Santoso, B. Ng, W. Anderson, G. Wang, T. Geng, H.-S. Jo, J.A. Marengo, L.M. Alves, M. Osman, S. Li, L. Wu, C. Karamperidou, K. Takahashi, C. Vera, "Climate impacts of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation on South America." Nature Reviews Earth and Environment, 2020. https://www.nature.com/articles/s43017-020-0040-3

T.J. Bracegirdle, C.R. Holmes, J.S. Hosking, G.J. Marshall, M. Osman, M. Patterson, T. Rackow, "Improvements in Circumpolar Southern Hemisphere Extratropical Atmospheric Circulation in CMIP6 Compared to CMIP5." Earth and Space Science, 2020. https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2019EA001065

M. Osman, C.S. Vera, "Predictability of extratropical upper-tropospheric circulation in the Southern Hemisphere by its main modes of variability." Journal of Climate, 2020. https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/33/4/jcli-d-19-0122.1.xml?tab_body=abstract-display

J. Mindlin, T.G. Shepherd, C.S. Vera, M. Osman, G. Zappa, R.W. Lee, K.I. Hodges, "Storyline description of Southern Hemisphere midlatitude circulation and precipitation response to greenhouse gas forcing." Climate Dynamics, 2020. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-020-05234-1

M. Osman, C.A.S. Coelho, C.S. Vera, "Calibration and combination of seasonal precipitation forecasts over South America using Ensemble Regression." Climate Dynamics, 2021. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-021-05845-2

J. Mindlin, T.G. Shepherd, C. Vera, M. Osman, "Combined Effects of Global Warming and Ozone Depletion/Recovery on Southern Hemisphere Atmospheric Circulation and Regional Precipitation." Geophysical Research Letters, 2021. https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2021GL092568

N. Bodnariuk, C.G. Simionato, M. Saraceno, M. Osman, L.B. Diaz, "Interannual Variability of the Latitude of Separation of the Brazil Current: Teleconnections and Oceanic Rossby Waves Propagation." Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 2021. https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2021JC017557

I.F.A. Cavalcanti, N.J.C. Barreto, M.S. Alvarez, M. Osman, C.A.S. Coelho, "Teleconnection patterns in the Southern Hemisphere represented by ECMWF and NCEP S2S project models and influences on South America precipitation." Meteorological Applications, 2021. https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/met.2011

N. Bodnariuk, C.G. Simionato, M. Osman, M. Saraceno, "The Río de la Plata plume dynamics over the Southwestern Atlantic Continental Shelf and its link with the large scale atmospheric variability on interannual timescales." Continental Shelf Research, 2021. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S027843432030251X

M. Osman, T.G. Shepherd, C.S. Vera, "The combined influence of the stratospheric polar vortex and ENSO on zonal asymmetries in the southern hemisphere upper tropospheric circulation during austral spring and summer." Climate Dynamics, 2022. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-022-06225-0

Shipra Jain, Julia Mindlin, Gerbrand Koren, Carla Gulizia, Claudia Steadman, Gaby Langendijk, Marisol Osman, Muhammad Abid, Yuhan Rao, Valentina Rabanal, "Are We at Risk of Losing the Current Generation of Climate Researchers to Data Science?." AGU Advances, 2022. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2022AV000676

Zachary Lawrence, Marta Abalos, Blanca Ayarzagüena, David Barriopedro, Amy Butler, Natalia Calvo, Alvaro Cámara, Andrew Charlton-Perez, Daniela Domeisen, Etienne Dunn-Sigouin, Javier García-Serrano, Chaim Garfinkel, Neil Hindley, Liwei Jia, Martin Jucker, Alexey Karpechko, Hera Kim, Andrea Lang, Simon Lee, Pu Lin, Marisol Osman, Froila Palmeiro, Judith Perlwitz, Inna Polichtchouk, Jadwiga Richter, Chen Schwartz, Seok-Woo Son, Irina Statnaia, Masakazu Taguchi, Nicholas Tyrrell, Corwin Wright, Rachel Wu, "Quantifying stratospheric biases and identifying their potential sources in subseasonal forecast systems." Weather and Climate Dynamics, 2022. https://wcd.copernicus.org/articles/3/977/2022/

Luciano Andrian, Marisol Osman, Carolina Vera, "Climate predictability on seasonal timescales over South America from the NMME models." Climate Dynamics, 2022. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-022-06506-8

Esteban Thomasz, Kevin Corfield, Ana Vilker, Marisol Osman, "Forecasting soybean production to enhance climate services for Agriculture in Argentina." Climate Services, 2023.

Marisol Osman, Daniela Domeisen, Andrew Robertson, Antje Weisheimer, "Sub-seasonal to decadal predictions in support of climate services." Climate Services, 2023.

Marisol Osman, Remo Beerli, Dominik Büeler, Christian Grams, "Multi-model assessment of sub-seasonal predictive skill for year-round Atlantic–European weather regimes." Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2023. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/qj.4512 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/qj.4512 https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.4512

Julia Mindlin, Carolina Vera, Theodore Shepherd, Marisol Osman, "Plausible Drying and Wetting Scenarios for Summer in Southeastern South America." Journal of Climate, 2023. https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/36/22/JCLI-D-23-0134.1.xml

talks

Modelos Estadísticos de estimación de la precipitación estival sobre el sur de Sudamérica para su implementación en el pronóstico estacional.

Predictability and prediction skill of the main modes of summer circulation variability in the Southern Hemisphere.

Calibration and Combination of CHFP precipitation forecasts over South America using Ensemble Regression.

Activity of the Southern Annular Mode during 2015-2016 El Niño event and its impact on Southern Hemisphere climate anomalies.

Calibration and Combination of NMME precipitation forecast over South America using Ensemble Regression.

Esfuerzos y desafíos para avanzar en la predicción de la variabilidad climática en escalas subestacionales a estacionales.

Climate Change and Development in Latin America: Responding to two challenges for the price of one.

Sub-seasonal prediction of the year-round Atlantic-European weather regimes.

The science of weather & climate: predictions & projections.

Factors influencing sub-seasonal forecast skill of Greenland Blockings.

Multi-model assessment of sub-seasonal predictive skill for year-round Atlantic-European weather regimes.

Exploiting large ensembles to understand the combined influence of ENSO and other climate drivers on the Southern Hemisphere extratropical circulation.

Marisol Osman